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One of the most important things that geologists
who study volcanoes can produce is a volcanic hazards map. This
map would outline areas that at risk in the event of an eruption.
When a volcano erupts, lava flows, lahars, pyroclastic flows
and ash falls can cause serious injury, death and damage many
miles from the base of the volcano. The map below is a volcanic
hazard map for Mount Rainier in the state of Washington. Full
information about this map and much more detailed mapping for
this area can be found at their website in a report titled Volcano
Hazards from Mount Rainier, Washington.

This map shows the potential impact areas of
lahars, lava flows and pyroclastic flows. In making a volcanic
hazards map geologists need to keep one principle in mind...
"the past is the key to the present". In other words
the areas that were impacted by lava flows, lahars and pyroclastic
flows in the past are the most likely areas to be impacted in
the future.
To construct the portion of this map for lahars,
USGS geologists went into the field looking for ancient lahar
deposits. Their goal was to determine the travel paths of the
ancient lahars. If lahars traveled over these areas in the past
then there was a good chance that they would travel them in
the future. Lahars could also travel over similar areas - even
if they were not impacted in the past. Looking at the map above
you can see that USGS designated the stream valleys as risk
areas for lahars.
In addition to mapping the travel paths of
ancient lahars the geologists also determined their maximum
travel distance. This information could be used in areas of
similar terrain to predict the distance that future lahars might
travel. Using this work they were able to make a hazard map
showing the potential travel paths for future lahars and the
distance that they could potentially reach in the future.
Your job is to make volcanic hazard maps for
Hazard City and the surrounding county. These maps should show
the potential impact areas for lava flows, lahars and ash falls.
You can obtain the data needed to make these maps by going back
to the version of the Volcanic Hazard Assessment that you completed
on the Hazard City CD and learning about the travel path and
impact distance of lahars, lava flows and ash falls. Use this
information to construct your map.
A few words about "uncertainty."
When geologists produce a geologic hazard map they are projecting
what they have learned about the past into the future. Their
record of the past is fragmentary and they are using this fragmentary
evidence to project into the future. A conscientious geologist
will always have feelings of uncertainty when doing this type
of work. However, they carefully find as much information about
the past as they can and they carefully consider what a future
event might hold. Their goal is to make a map that shows all
of the dangerous areas and at the same time not understating
the areas which are considered to be safe.
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